Between 2013 and 2023, orange exports in Egypt exhibited a generally upward trend, with some fluctuations. The volume increased from 1.1 million metric tons in 2013 to 1.6663 million metric tons in 2023. Notably, 2018 and 2020 were high points, with values of 1.703 and 1.701 million metric tons, respectively. However, there were declines in 2019 and 2021. In 2023, the export volume was slightly down by 1.99% compared to the previous year (2022).
Year-on-year variations have shown significant fluctuations. The most noticeable drop was in 2021 (-23.57%), while the most substantial increase was in 2022 with a 30.77% rise. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years leading to 2023 was negative at -0.44%, indicating a slight overall decline.
Moving forward, the forecast suggests a steady growth in orange exports, with the volume expected to reach 1.8674 million metric tons by 2028. The five-year CAGR is projected to be 1.81%, with a total growth rate of 9.38% over this period.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impacts of climate change on orange cultivation.
- Shifts in global demand and competition in the orange market.
- Technological advancements in agricultural practices.
- Policy changes affecting trade and export regulations.
