Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Chemical Engineering in Brazil

The share of Brazilian scientific publications in the top 10% of cited works in chemical engineering is forecasted to decrease from 3.92% in 2024 to 3.52% by 2028. In 2023, this share stood at approximately 4.03%. This represents a year-on-year decrease in visibility within the global academic community, highlighting a potential decline in the influence of Brazilian chemical engineering research. Observing a downward trend, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years illustrates a gradual decline in prominence within this crucial field.

Considering future trends, potential factors affecting this trajectory might include shifts in research funding, international collaboration dynamics, or strategic initiatives aimed at bolstering publication quality. Monitoring investments in research and development and fostering global collaborations may prove pivotal in reversing this trend.

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