Forecast: Cereal Production in Kenya

Cereal production in Kenya experienced fluctuating trends over the past decade. After reaching a low in 2016 and 2017, it saw a significant rebound in 2018, following which it generally stayed around the 4 million metric tons mark with minor fluctuations. In 2023, cereal production stood at 4.3141 million metric tons, reflecting a strong year-on-year increase of 14.93% from 2022. Over the last five years up to 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reveals a slight decline at -2.14%.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a stable and modest growth trajectory for cereal production in Kenya. The expected CAGR over the next five years is predicted to be 0.71%, with an overall growth rate of 3.62% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Impact of climate change on agricultural yields
  • Improvements in agricultural technology and farming practices
  • Government policies and interventions in the agricultural sector

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