The national rail freight volume in Poland stood at 45.45 billion tonne kilometers in 2023. Observing the historical data, there has been fluctuating growth over the years. A significant drop was noted in 2020, likely due to the global pandemic, with a subsequent recovery in 2021 and 2022. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was approximately 0.69%, indicating moderate growth.
Looking at the future, from 2024 onwards, the forecast predicts a steady increase in rail freight volume with an expected CAGR of 1%, resulting in a 5.09% growth over the next five years. This growth trend suggests cautious optimism for the sector, driven by economic recovery and possible infrastructural enhancements.
Future trends to watch for:
- Investment in rail infrastructure and technology.
- Shifts in EU transport policies favoring rail over road transport for environmental benefits.
- Impact of global supply chain changes on national rail freight demand.
- Potential fluctuations due to economic instability or geopolitical factors.