Forecast: National Rail Freight Volume in Poland

The national rail freight volume in Poland stood at 45.45 billion tonne kilometers in 2023. Observing the historical data, there has been fluctuating growth over the years. A significant drop was noted in 2020, likely due to the global pandemic, with a subsequent recovery in 2021 and 2022. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was approximately 0.69%, indicating moderate growth.

Looking at the future, from 2024 onwards, the forecast predicts a steady increase in rail freight volume with an expected CAGR of 1%, resulting in a 5.09% growth over the next five years. This growth trend suggests cautious optimism for the sector, driven by economic recovery and possible infrastructural enhancements.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Investment in rail infrastructure and technology.
  • Shifts in EU transport policies favoring rail over road transport for environmental benefits.
  • Impact of global supply chain changes on national rail freight demand.
  • Potential fluctuations due to economic instability or geopolitical factors.