From 2013 to 2023, the area of permanent meadows and pastures under organic agriculture in Finland showed a notable decline, moving from 4.6 thousand hectares in 2013 to 1.4 thousand hectares in 2023. Despite brief periods of increase in 2015 and 2018, the overall trend has been negative.
Key Trends:
- 2014 saw a 39.13% year-on-year decrease, setting a declining trend.
- A brief 35.71% increase in 2015 was followed by a 50% decrease in 2016.
- Subsequent years continued to show erratic fluctuations, with 2020 marking no change from the previous year.
- The last two years before 2024 experienced a 23.81% decrease in 2022 and a 12.5% decrease in 2023.
- The five-year CAGR from 2019 to 2023 was -4.9%.
Forecast:
The forecast for 2024 to 2028 predicts a continued decline, with the area expected to drop to 0.6 thousand hectares by 2028. The expected CAGR for this period is -14.33%, representing an overall reduction of 53.85%.
Future Trends to Watch For:
The declining trend of permanent meadows and pastures under organic agriculture in Finland suggests a growing shift away from organic practices in these areas. Factors contributing to this trend may include economic pressures, changes in agricultural policies, or a shift to other types of agricultural uses. It will be crucial to monitor policy changes, market demand for organic products, and broader environmental initiatives impacting organic agriculture.
