Forecast: Raw Steel Production in Indonesia

Indonesia's raw steel production has shown substantial growth from 2.64 million metric tons in 2013 to 6.82 million metric tons in 2023. The production experienced significant annual variations, such as a robust increase of 67.47% in 2014 and a 14.18% decline in 2020. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been 2.39%, indicating a steady increase, though subpar compared to earlier peaks. The projected production for 2028 is 7.83 million metric tons, achieving a 5-year forecasted CAGR of 2.16% and an overall growth rate of 11.3% from 2023 levels.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential impacts of global economic fluctuations and their influence on demand for steel.
  • Advancements in technology aimed at reducing production costs and improving output efficiency.
  • Environmental regulations and sustainability practices affecting production practices and capacity.
  • Infrastructure and construction developments in Indonesia, driving domestic steel consumption.
  • The effect of international trade policies and relationships on Indonesia's raw steel export potential.

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