Forecast: Tangerines, Satsumas, Clementines and Mandarines Yield in Kenya

Based on the provided forecast data for the years 2024 to 2028, the yield for these citrus fruits is expected to decline year-on-year. Specifically, the yield decreases from 69.22 Thousand Hectograms Per Hectare (2024) to 58.83 Thousand Hectograms Per Hectare (2028).

Year-on-Year Variation Percentage:

  • 2025: -3.87%
  • 2026: -3.94%
  • 2027: -4.02%
  • 2028: -4.10%

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR):

The CAGR for the yield from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -4.00%.

Future Trends to Watch

Future trends to monitor include climate change impacts, advancements in agricultural techniques, and government policies supporting citrus farming. The consistent decline in yield suggests that underlying issues, such as soil health or pest management, may need addressing to stabilize or reverse this trend.

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