The share of Canadian scientific publications within the world's top 10% most cited in Ecology, Evolution, Behavior, and Systematics is forecasted to slightly decline each year from 2024 to 2028, starting at 11.33% and falling to 11.05%. While the annual percentage decrease is modest, it indicates a continued trend of slight decline from 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) analysis over the five years shows a decaying trend, indicating a gradual weakening in Canada's influence in highly cited ecological science output.

Future trends to watch include:

Emerging global competitors and their impact on citation shares.
Changes in research funding policies affecting publication quality and citation rates.
Potential collaborations with leading international institutions to bolster Canada's citation impact.