From 2024 to 2028, France's trade balance of tar sands and oil shale is forecasted to decline steadily. Starting from a negative balance of 58,320 metric tons in 2024, it is expected to worsen to 68,350 metric tons by 2028. Year-on-year, the data shows an average increase in the trade deficit, with a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflecting persistent deterioration. As of 2023, the baseline data for comparison is not provided, but the continuous increase in deficit indicates ongoing trends and challenges in reducing reliance on these energy sources.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential shifts in France's energy policies or investments in sustainable energy could impact these forecasts.
Global oil price volatility might influence trade balances.
Technological advancements in extraction and processing could alter production capacities and trade patterns.