Forecast: Gas Oil and Diesel Oil (Excluding Biofuel Portion) Refinery Output in the UK

The UK's refinery output for gas oil and diesel oil, excluding the biofuel portion, shows a declining trend from 2024 to 2028, moving from 19.0 to 17.68 million tonnes of oil equivalent. In comparison, 2023's output was around 19.34 million tonnes. The year-on-year variation reveals a gradual decrease, with 1.79% from 2024 to 2025, followed by a consistent further decline averaging approximately 1.79% annually. The 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negative, indicating a systematic reduction in output.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of renewable energy policies, technological advancements in refineries, and potential shifts in energy demand, which could further influence refinery output levels.

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