Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Biomedical Engineering in Brazil

As of 2023, Brazil's share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in biomedical engineering was 3.31%. From 2024 onwards, a decreasing trend is forecasted, with shares dropping progressively from 3.17% in 2024 to 2.43% by 2028. This reflects a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years.

  • Year-on-year variation indicates a downward trend, with a 5.68% decrease from 2024 to 2025 and additional declines in subsequent years.
  • Between 2024-2028, an overall reduction highlights a persistent challenge in maintaining a competitive edge in top-cited publications globally.
  • The average yearly decrease in publication share emphasizes a need for strategic initiatives to boost research impact.

Future trends to watch for: Brazil should invest in advanced research infrastructure, prioritize high-impact collaborative projects, and enhance visibility in the international scientific community to counteract the declining trend and regain growth in the biomedical engineering domain.

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