Forecast: Output of Refined Petroleum Products and Coke in Spain

The output of refined petroleum products and coke in Spain has exhibited significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. Starting at 45.47 billion Euros in 2013, it experienced a notable decline over the following years, hitting a low of 20.6 billion Euros in 2020. The period from 2021 to 2023 showed a rebound, reaching 34.95 billion Euros in 2023. Key year-on-year variations include substantial drops in 2015, 2020, and significant recovery in 2021. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years shows an average decline of 3.2% per year.

Looking into the future, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggest a gradual decrease, with the output expected to reach 32.45 billion Euros by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is estimated at -1.18%, indicating a continued but moderate decline.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Impact of global oil prices and economic recovery post-pandemic.
  • Regulatory changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions and their effect on the industry.
  • Innovations in alternative fuels and their adoption rate.
  • Investment in refining capacity and technological advancements.

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