Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Pharmacy in the US

The share of US scientific publications in pharmacy among the world's top 10% cited is forecasted to decline from 7.95% in 2024 to 6.8% by 2028. Comparing this to 2023, it can be observed as a consistent downward trend. The year-on-year variation shows a reduction at an average pace, indicating a declining growth rate, with a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) projected over the forecast period.

Future trends to watch:

  • Increased international competition and innovation could further influence the US share.
  • Policy changes and funding shifts in pharmaceutical research may impact publication quality and citation rates.
  • Collaborations with emerging markets might offer opportunities to reverse the declining trend.

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