The share of US scientific publications in pharmacy among the world's top 10% cited is forecasted to decline from 7.95% in 2024 to 6.8% by 2028. Comparing this to 2023, it can be observed as a consistent downward trend. The year-on-year variation shows a reduction at an average pace, indicating a declining growth rate, with a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) projected over the forecast period.
Future trends to watch:
- Increased international competition and innovation could further influence the US share.
- Policy changes and funding shifts in pharmaceutical research may impact publication quality and citation rates.
- Collaborations with emerging markets might offer opportunities to reverse the declining trend.