Forecast: General Government Expenditures on Defence in Poland

Poland's general government expenditures on defence have seen varied movements over the past decade. From 2013 to 2023, the annual variation has alternated between increases and decreases, with significant fluctuations observed. The expenditure peaked in 2017, followed by minor declines and relatively stable values from 2019 to 2023, indicating a plateau at around 3.9 units of General Government Expenditure.

In 2023, the expenditure stood at 3.9 units. The year-on-year variations and Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicate that the expenditures have generally maintained stability in the recent periods. However, the forecast CAGR for the next five years hints at a slight downturn, predicting a minor decline averaging -0.05% annually.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Potential external geopolitical influences that could disrupt forecasted stability.
• Domestic economic performance impacting government budget allocations.
• Any reforms or strategic shift in defence policy that reallocates resources.