The forecast for re-importing fixed-wing aircraft of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000 kg to the UK indicates a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. The projected values show a decrease from 1.74 in 2024 to 1.03 in 2028. Compared to the 2023 actual figure of 1.90, this represents a consistent decline year-on-year.
Key variations include:
- Year-on-year decrease of 10.34% in 2025.
- Year-on-year decrease of 11.54% in 2026.
- Year-on-year decrease of 13.04% in 2027.
- Year-on-year decrease of 14.17% in 2028.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the subsequent five years is negative, reflecting an average annual reduction of 11.76% from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to observe include how geopolitical factors, environmental regulations, and advancements in aircraft technology could impact re-importation rates, potentially altering the trajectory of this downward trend in subsequent years.