The forecast for influenza mortality in the UK suggests a steady increase from 2024 to 2028, with values projected to rise from 972 deaths in 2024 to 1220 deaths in 2028. This represents a year-on-year increase ranging from approximately 7% to 5.2% over this period. Influenza mortality displayed a consistent growth trend, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 5.8% from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, influenza mortality was noted to be below 972 deaths.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from vaccination coverage fluctuations, virus mutation trends, climate change effects on virus transmission, and public health interventions that could significantly alter influenza-related mortality rates.
