Forecast: Influenza Mortality in the UK

The influenza mortality forecast in the UK shows a consistent decline from 236 male deaths in 2024 to 168 in 2028, reflecting a year-on-year decrease each year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period indicates an average decline of approximately 8% annually. This projected trend suggests an improving scenario potentially due to better healthcare interventions, increased vaccination rates, or other public health measures.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on influenza patterns, new influenza strains that could alter mortality rates, and the continued effectiveness of current vaccines and medical treatments.

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