In 2024, the road freight transport volume in Italy is forecasted to begin at 361 million vehicle-kilometers, reflecting a significant projected decline from its 2023 level. This downward trend continues sharply with a year-on-year reduction through 2028, hitting 79 million vehicle-kilometers by that year. Analyses of the period from 2024 to 2028 indicate a yearly compounded average decrease in road freight transport, suggesting a contracting sector. The forecast highlights a drastic shift in transport dynamics, potentially driven by policy changes, economic conditions, or technological advancements.

Future trends to watch include:

Impact of sustainability initiatives aiming to reduce carbon emissions.
Technological advancements in alternative modes of transport and logistics optimization.
Regulatory changes affecting road freight operations and costs.