The import of diesel-electric rail locomotives to France is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the imports stood at approximately the same level as 2024, around 298.4 thousand kilograms. By 2025, there is a projected decrease to 275.31 thousand kilograms, indicating a decline of 7.75% year-on-year. This downward trend persists with a further decrease of 8.24% in 2026, reaching 252.68 thousand kilograms. By 2027, imports are expected to drop to 230.5 thousand kilograms, a 8.77% reduction. The forecast for 2028 estimates a volume of 208.77 thousand kilograms, marking a 9.41% decline.
Over the five-year forecast period, there is a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -8.43% indicating a negative growth trend in the import volume.
Future trends to watch for include the potential shift in transportation policies towards more sustainable rail transport options, technological advancements in locomotive engines, and developments in the European railway infrastructure which could impact import needs and trends.