From 2023 to 2024, the number of notified tuberculosis cases in China is projected to be 805.42 thousand, indicating a slight decrease from the previous year. Between 2024 and 2028, the forecast shows a gradual decline, with the number of cases reducing from 805.42 thousand to 792.24 thousand by 2028. This shows a consistent year-on-year decline of around 0.4% annually. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this five-year period reflects an average annual decrease in tuberculosis cases, signifying a continuous downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in healthcare infrastructure and technology, public health initiatives targeting TB eradication, and potential changes in socioeconomic factors that may impact TB transmission rates. Monitoring these elements could provide further insights into the sustainability of the declining trend and help inform strategic interventions.