The rail freight transport in France has shown fluctuations between 2013 and 2023, with a peak in 2015 where the value reached 36.33 billion tonne kilometers. From 2016 onwards, a downward trend is observable, culminating in a value of 30.82 billion tonne kilometers in 2023. Year-on-year percentage variations highlight this inconsistency, with significant drops in 2020 (-7.85%) and an annual average decline over the last five years (CAGR) of -2.04%. The forecast predicts a continuation of this decline, with an anticipated decrease to 29.57 billion tonne kilometers by 2028 and an expected average yearly decrease of 0.66% (5-year CAGR).
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential regulatory changes affecting the rail freight sector.
- The impact of technological advancements and digital transformation on operational efficiencies.
- Shifts in trade patterns and supply chain structures, possibly influenced by geopolitical factors.
- Environmental policies promoting rail transport over road or air transport owing to sustainability goals.
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