In 2023, the national road freight volume of toxic substances in Germany stood at 14.0 million vehicle-kilometers. Forecasts indicate a stable trend through 2025, maintaining at 14.0 million vehicle-kilometers, before experiencing a decline to 13.0 million vehicle-kilometers in 2026, which persists through 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of 7.1% from 2025 to 2026, with no change in subsequent years. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a reduction due to the drop by 2026.
Future trends to watch for include regulatory changes affecting toxic substances transport, technological advancements in logistics, and shifts in industrial production that may impact the volumes required to be moved. Monitoring economic indicators and policy revisions is crucial to anticipate potential adjustments in freight volumes.