The forecasted number of notified tuberculosis cases in the UK is expected to decline gradually from 2024 to 2028, with values dropping from 6.65 thousand cases in 2024 to 6.36 thousand cases in 2028. This indicates a modest downward trend in TB notifications, suggesting effective control measures.
Year-on-year variation reveals a consistent decrease: approximately 1.05% from 2024 to 2025, 1.22% from 2025 to 2026, 1.08% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.09% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is a negative 1.12%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of healthcare policy changes, improvements in diagnostic technology, and shifts in public health funding. Monitoring these factors could help further reduce TB cases in the UK.
