The forecast for Mediterranean scaldfish production in Italy's capture fisheries for human consumption suggests a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2024, the value stands at 4.12 thousand euros per metric ton, decreasing each year to reach 3.69 in 2028. This represents annual declines of approximately 2.91% to 3.02%, continuing the downward trend observed prior to 2024. The CAGR over the five-year period is expected to be negative, reflecting a sustained reduction in production value. In 2023, production was already under strain, setting the stage for this forecasted downturn.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems, regulatory changes in EU fishing policies, and market shifts towards sustainable fishing practices. These could all influence production levels and market dynamics in the Mediterranean fishery sector.
