Forecast: Exports of Primary Solid Biofuels in Poland

The exports of primary solid biofuels in Poland demonstrate significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The value in 2023 stood at 8980 TJ. During the early years, exports saw notable increases, peaking in 2016, followed by a sharp decline in 2017, and minor fluctuations afterwards. The later years, particularly from 2020 to 2023, show a generally declining trend with slight stabilization towards the end.

Year-on-year variations in recent years reveal a pattern of decline: -13.48% in 2020, -10.02% in 2021, and -16.35% in 2022. However, 2023 saw a minor increase of 0.11%. The last CAGR for 2019-2023 is -7.9%, indicating an average annual reduction in export values.

Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 predict stabilization at 8980 TJ, with a nominal forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.01% and a forecasted 5-year growth rate of 0.03%, suggesting minimal growth.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in biofuel technologies, shifts in global energy policies, and Poland’s adherence to international climate agreements which may influence export volumes.

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