Forecast: Total Mastectomy Performed on Patients in Germany

The total number of mastectomies performed in Germany has shown a general decline from 2013 to 2023, dropping from 35.11 to 32.13 procedures per hundred thousand persons, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.18%. The year-on-year variations have also mostly been negative, with minor fluctuations such as a slight rise in 2019 and 2021. From 2024 onwards, the decline is expected to continue, reaching an estimated 31.6 procedures per hundred thousand persons by 2028, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.26%.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Advances in early detection and alternative treatments for breast cancer, which may further reduce the need for mastectomies.

• The impact of public health policies and breast cancer awareness programs on treatment choices.

• Technological innovations in surgical techniques and post-operative care that may influence procedure rates.

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