In 2023, Italy's fossil fuels energy trade balance stood at 117.51 million metric tons. Forecast data indicate a gradual decline over the forecast period, dropping to 116.14 million metric tons in 2024 and further decreasing to 110.59 million metric tons by 2028. This demonstrates a consistent downward trend in fossil fuel volumes, reflecting a shift towards reduced dependency or increased domestic production and efficiency.
Key observations and trends over the next five years include:
- A slight annual decline is observed, with an average reduction (CAGR) across the five years indicating a moderate decrease in fossil fuel trade balance.
- The year-on-year change shows a trend of about 1% reduction, indicating a modest but steady move towards alternatives.
Future trends to watch for include how Italy balances its energy mix with renewable energy sources and policy shifts towards sustainable practices, as well as geopolitical factors influencing fossil fuel imports and exports.