Forecast: Number of Incident Tuberculosis Cases in the US

In 2023, the number of incident tuberculosis cases in the US stood at an estimated value, around 8.26 thousand. From 2024 to 2028, a consistent decline is forecasted, with cases decreasing from 7.87 thousand to 6.38 thousand. The year-on-year decline is steady, with annual percentage decreases observed: approximately 4.8% in 2025, 5.1% in 2026, 5.1% in 2027, and 5.5% in 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately -4.76%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of enhanced public health interventions on reducing TB incidence.
  • Emergence and management of drug-resistant TB strains.
  • Policy changes promoting early detection and efficient treatment.

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