The forecasted total number of 10% top-cited scientific publications in AI in France shows a declining trend from 2024's 32.17 publications to 25.56 publications in 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decrease, averaging a 5.5% reduction annually over the five-year period. It is noteworthy that in 2023, the actual number of top-cited publications might have been slightly higher, indicating a systematic decline starting in 2024.

Future trends to watch for include:

The potential impact of funding changes on AI research output in France.
The influence of international collaborations in sustaining publication quality and volume.
Technological advancements and shifts in AI research focus areas.