Forecast: Number of Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in China

In 2023, China's scientific publications in artificial intelligence stood at 62.3 thousand. Moving into the forecasted data, China shows a robust upward trend from 2024 through 2028, with the number of publications increasing annually. Year-on-year growth rates are expected to be impressive, climbing steadily as follows: 12.1% in 2025, 10.7% in 2026, and maintaining a near 9.6% increase by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 averages at 9.9%, indicating strong and consistent progress in the field.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of government policies and investments in AI research.
  • Partnerships between academia and industry to further innovation.
  • The role of emerging technologies, such as quantum computing, in accelerating AI research.
  • Increasing international collaboration and its influence on publication output.

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