Forecast: Diesel Oil Consumption in Transport, Storage and Post in China

In 2023, China's diesel oil consumption in the transport, storage, and post sectors stood at 8.13 million metric tons. The year-on-year variation for this year was a decrease of 5.38%, continuing the declining trend observed over the last two years, with 2022 seeing a 5.15% drop and 2021 a 4.94% drop. Over the past five years, the consumption has experienced an average annual decrease of 6.15% (CAGR), highlighting a steady downward trend.

This declining pattern is forecasted to continue, with the consumption expected to drop to 5.88 million metric tons by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is -5.17%, indicating a projected total reduction of 23.31% from 2024 levels.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advancements in transportation leading to more fuel-efficient vehicles.
  • Government policies encouraging the adoption of alternative energy sources.
  • Evolving logistics practices reducing overall diesel consumption in transport and storage sectors.

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