Forecast: Regular National Traffic of Buses and Coaches in the Netherlands

The national traffic of buses and coaches in the Netherlands stood at 426 million vehicle-kilometers in 2023, with a year-on-year decline of 1.62%. Over the last two years, the traffic showed a mixed trend with a brief increase of 2.36% in 2022, followed by the decline in 2023. Analyzing the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reveals an average yearly decline of approximately 1.9%, indicating a steady downward trend.

Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a continuing decline in bus and coach traffic, with an anticipated CAGR of -1.32%, resulting in a forecasted total decrease of 6.44% by 2028. This consistent negative trend highlights potential challenges in sustaining bus and coach transportation volumes in the coming years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Shifts in public transportation policies and investments in sustainable mobility solutions.
  • Changes in commuter behavior post-pandemic affecting long-term usage patterns.
  • Technological advancements and the impact of electric and autonomous vehicles on the overall traffic volume.

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