Forecast: Modal Share of Trains in Germany

The forecasted modal share of trains in Germany shows a slight increase from 9.2% in 2024 to 9.3% from 2025 through 2028. This indicates a stable but minimal growth trajectory in the preference for train travel over the forecast period. The year-on-year variation remains flat at 0.1 percentage points increase from 2024 to 2025, with no further changes anticipated up to 2028. This stability suggests a steady state in the modal share of trains without significant fluctuations.

Looking ahead, key trends to watch include the impact of environmental policies, infrastructure investments, and technological advancements in rail transport. These factors could potentially accelerate the modal shift towards trains, contributing to a more sustainable and efficient transportation system in Germany.

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