Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Transplantation in Thailand

The total number of scientific publications in transplantation in Thailand fluctuated significantly with notable peaks and troughs from 2013 to 2023. After a dramatic decline of -47.05% in publications in 2013, the number soared by 211.89% in 2014. Subsequent years witnessed considerable variations, with notable increases such as 55.05% in 2016 and 42.62% in 2020, interspersed with declines, including -62.79% in 2015 and -19.05% in 2022. The number of publications in 2023 was 11.72 units, marking a modest year-on-year increase of 4.56%. The five-year CAGR for 2023 stood at 9.42%, and the forecasted five-year CAGR up to 2028 is 3.09%, indicating a steady but slower growth trend.

Future trends to watch for:

• Continuous advancements in transplantation technologies and methodologies.

• Increased collaboration between local and international research institutions.

• Enhanced focus on emerging transplantation sub-fields, driving research publications.

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