The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in immunology in the UK displays a consistent downward trend from 2024 to 2028, with percentages gradually decreasing from 84.51% to 83.57%. This decline suggests a slight but notable shift in authorship dynamics. Compared to 2023, where the share stood at 84.75%, the predicted year-on-year declines, while modest, align with a broader trend of decreasing values. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years is negative, further highlighting this decline, reflecting changes potentially due to increasing collaboration and multi-author contributions.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of global collaboration and research networks, which may continue to shift lead authorship patterns. Additionally, technological advancements in publishing processes and potential changes in research funding in the UK and globally could further influence these trends.
