In 2023, the final consumption of brown coal in Italy stood at 1.60 thousand metric tons. Based on the forecasted data, the consumption is expected to decline annually over the next five years: 1.45 in 2024, 1.32 in 2025, 1.21 in 2026, 1.11 in 2027, and 1.02 in 2028. This indicates a consistent yearly decrease in consumption.
Year-on-year percentage variations indicate the following trends:
• 2023-2024: -9.38%
• 2024-2025: -8.97%
• 2025-2026: -8.33%
• 2026-2027: -8.26%
• 2027-2028: -8.11%
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -8.61%, reflecting a steady annual decrease in consumption.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts towards more sustainable and greener energy sources, which could further accelerate the decline in brown coal consumption. Regulatory changes and technological advancements in renewable energy could also impact the consumption patterns significantly. Additionally, economic factors and energy policy reforms will play crucial roles in shaping the future trajectory of brown coal usage in Italy.