The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in orthopedics and sports medicine in Italy is forecasted to slowly decline from 92.3% in 2024 to 92.1% in 2028. This marks a consistent yet slight decrease from the 2023 level, indicating a potential stabilization or slight decrease in the dominance of corresponding authors in these fields over the forecasted period.
The year-on-year variation is minimal, maintaining close to a stable percentage over the observed years, highlighting minimal changes in author roles. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests a subtle decrease, reflecting a consistent yet minor trend.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in multi-author collaboration dynamics, the increasing role of international collaborations, and shifts in academic publishing practices which may influence the share of corresponding authors further.