Forecast: Passengers Carried on Domestic Scheduled Air Carriers in Japan

In 2023, the number of passengers carried on domestic scheduled air carriers in Japan stood at 109.42 million units. The period from 2013 to 2023 witnessed a generally positive trend with intermittent fluctuations, notably a sharp decline in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic (-15.89% YoY). Post-pandemic recovery was marked by a notable increase of 15.93% YoY in 2021. The following years saw moderate growth, with 1.21% YoY in 2023.

The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the latest five-year period (2018-2023) was 1.29%, indicating steady recovery and gradual growth. Looking ahead to the forecasted period (2024-2028), the CAGR is expected to be 0.97%, projecting continued stable growth with a total five-year growth rate of 4.93%.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of economic conditions on travel demand, technological advancements in the aviation sector, changes in consumer behavior post-pandemic, and government policies affecting domestic air travel.

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