Forecast: Number of Buses in Poland

Between 2014 and 2019, the number of buses in Poland showed steady year-on-year growth, with small variations around an average annual increase of approximately 1.98%. The year 2020 marked a notable decline of 16.4%, likely due to impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the sector rebounded in 2021 with a 15.27% increase, stabilizing and growing at a slower pace from 2022 onward. As of 2023, the number of buses stood at 91.49 thousand, showing a minor 0.67% year-on-year increase and a 0.57% CAGR over the last five years.

The forecasted data from 2024 onwards suggests moderate but consistent growth, projecting a 2.79% total increase over the next five years with a forecasted CAGR of 0.55%. This includes minor incremental increases each year.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in electric and autonomous buses could significantly influence growth patterns.
  • Government policies and incentives for sustainable public transport might further boost the market.
  • Economic factors and potential future pandemics could impact year-on-year variations.

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