Analysis of road transport-related tax revenue forecasts in Egypt reveals a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 7.07% of environmental tax revenue in 2024, projections show a decrease to 4.24% by 2028. This represents an annual average contraction rate of approximately 12.19% (CAGR). The year-on-year decrease exhibited a significant drop of 10.33% between 2024 and 2025 and gradually slowed, reaching 9.62% by the end of the period. Such a trend indicates structural challenges in maintaining road transport-related tax contributions within environmental tax revenue.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Policy changes impacting vehicle taxation
- Incentives for electric vehicles and green transport
- Shifts in transport patterns and infrastructure development
- Economic factors influencing vehicle ownership and usage.
