In 2023, the suicide mortality rate in China stood at 7.3 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent decrease in the suicide mortality rate: 7.1 in 2024, 6.9 in 2025, 6.8 in 2026, 6.6 in 2027, and 6.4 in 2028. The year-on-year percentage variations indicate a steady decline. Between 2024 and 2025, there is a drop of 2.82%, from 2025 to 2026 a 1.45% decrease, from 2026 to 2027 a 2.94% reduction, and from 2027 to 2028 a 3.03% fall. Over the last five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) reveals an average annual decrease of approximately 2.53%.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of mental health initiatives, economic conditions, and social support systems on the continued downward trajectory of suicide rates. Effectiveness of government policies and public health campaigns will be critical areas of focus.