The forecast for France's import of fresh or chilled lamb carcasses and half carcasses indicates a consistent downward trend from 2024 to 2028, with values decreasing from approximately $161.21 million to $116.06 million. Compared to 2023, where imports stood at an actual value of $174.37 million, the anticipated declines suggest a consecutive year-on-year reduction. The analysis of year-on-year variation shows a consistent decline of around 7-8% annually, with a more pronounced compound annual growth rate (CAGR) averaging negative over this five-year forecast period.
Future trends to watch include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative proteins, changes in domestic lamb production capacity in France, and global trade dynamics affecting import costs and availability from major exporting countries. Additionally, regulatory changes regarding agricultural trade and animal health standards may impact import volumes.