The forecast for moped and motorcycle users among road casualties in Germany shows a steady increase from 2024 to 2028, with values rising from 45.54 thousand persons in 2024 to 45.8 thousand persons in 2028. This represents a gradual growth averaging approximately 0.13% year-on-year. In 2023, the number of casualties stood at the same level as 2024, indicating stable but persistent growth over the forecast period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period is marginal and shows a consistent trend.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of emerging road safety technologies and stricter regulations on reducing the number of casualties.
- Potential shifts in transportation preferences, particularly towards electric motorcycles, and how these might affect casualty rates.
- Societal changes such as urbanization and their influence on transportation and road safety.