In 2023, Canada's share of the world's top 10% cited AI scientific publications stood at 11.18. Forecasting from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady decline from 11.18 down to 9.89, representing a 1.29 percentage point drop over five years. This translates to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) decline of approximately 2.36% per year. Year-over-year, the forecast decline is consistent, underscoring a gradual decrease in Canada's relative prominence in AI research.
Future trends to watch for include factors that could influence Canada's AI research impact such as domestic research funding, international collaborations, and policy changes affecting AI development.
