From 2023 to 2028, the share of U.S. scientific publications in the world's top 10% cited in AI is forecasted to decline slowly, starting from 18.5% in 2024 to 18.22% in 2028. The anticipated year-on-year decrease is approximately 0.38%, marking a gradually downward trend likely influenced by increasing global competition.
Future trends to watch for include changes in research funding, advancements in AI technology influencing academic focus, and the emergence of new key players in global AI research, which might affect the U.S.'s standing among top-cited publications in AI.
