Forecast: Fresh Lettuce Import in Canada

The import volume of fresh lettuce in Canada stood at 266.37 thousand metric tons in 2023. Over the past decade, there was a general downward trend in imports, highlighting notable fluctuations. From 2013 onwards, imports showed a consistent decline until 2020, which recorded the steepest drop at -7.72% year-on-year. Following a slight recovery in the subsequent years, imports eventually saw minimal year-on-year variations, stabilizing around 266 thousand metric tons in 2023.

Over the last two years, from 2021 to 2023, variations were as follows:

  • 2022: -0.7% year-on-year
  • 2023: 0.38% year-on-year

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the past five years stood at approximately -0.42%, indicating a slight overall decline in import volumes. However, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual recovery with a CAGR of 0.27% and an overall growth rate of 1.34% over the next five years.

Future trends to watch for include the potential impacts of climate change on domestic lettuce production, shifts in trade policies, and evolving consumer preferences towards local and organic produce, which may further influence import volumes.

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