Forecast: Tuberculosis Prevalence in Argentina

The prevalence of tuberculosis in Argentina has shown a generally decreasing trend over the past decade. In 2023, the value stood at 23.0 cases per hundred thousand persons. The year-on-year variation from 2022 to 2023 was -4.17%. Over the last two years (2022-2023), the variation has been -4.17% and +0% respectively. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years has been -2.42%. Looking ahead to the forecasted period, the prevalence is expected to continue declining, with a forecast five-year CAGR of -1.89%, resulting in an estimated drop to 20.0 cases per hundred thousand persons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

• Continued improvements in healthcare and tuberculosis prevention programs.
• Potential impacts of socioeconomic factors on disease prevalence.
• Emergence of drug-resistant tuberculosis strains.
• Effects of public health policies and international aid on disease control.