In 2023, the mortality rate for chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis was identified as 18.2 deaths per hundred thousand persons. Forecast data for 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady upward trend in mortality rates, increasing from 18.8 to 21.1 per hundred thousand. The year-on-year percentage increases exhibit a consistent growth pattern, with each year witnessing a rise in mortality rates as follows: 3.19% in 2025, 3.09% in 2026, 2.50% in 2027, and 2.93% in 2028. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period is anticipated to be 2.98%, suggesting a uniform escalation in mortality rates attributed to these conditions.

Future trends to watch for:

An increase in alcohol consumption and obesity rates might exacerbate chronic liver disease numbers and mortality.
Technological advancements in early diagnosis and treatment may help mitigate this trend.
The implementation of public health strategies focused on prevention and lifestyle modifications could play a pivotal role in curbing this rise.