The number of diesel passenger cars in the Netherlands is forecasted to decline significantly over the next few years. Starting at 661.22 thousand units in 2024, the figures are expected to drop to 553.71 thousand in 2025, 447.28 thousand in 2026, 341.92 thousand in 2027, and finally 237.61 thousand by 2028. Based on the actual data from 2023, the diesel passenger car segment appears to be decreasing at a notable rate year-on-year. Specifically, the data indicates a clear downward trend with a year-on-year percentage decline of approximately 16.2% from 2024 to 2025, 19.2% from 2025 to 2026, 23.6% from 2026 to 2027, and 30.5% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period suggests an average yearly decrease of about 23.5%.
Future trends to watch for include the accelerated adoption of electric and hybrid vehicles, potential government regulations further discouraging diesel car usage, and technological advancements in alternative fuel sources. Additionally, shifts in consumer preferences toward more sustainable transportation options are likely to further impact the market for diesel passenger cars in the coming years.
