The total number of scientific publications in transplantation in Argentina showed significant volatility between 2013 and 2023. After experiencing a peak of growth in 2020 with a 92.38% year-on-year increase, the number dropped by 31.29% in 2021, then rebounded slightly with a 15.25% increase in 2022 and a modest 1.27% rise in 2023, standing at 18.77 publications. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years leading to 2023 was -0.7%, indicating a slight overall decline.
Future trends to watch for:
- Steady but slow growth with an expected 0.96% CAGR from 2023 to 2028.
- A projected 4.88% total growth rate over the next five years.
- Potential volatility in annual publication numbers due to variable factors influencing scientific output.
Considering the forecasted figures from 2024 to 2028, the number of publications is expected to incrementally increase, reaching 19.93 units by 2028. This suggests a recovering trend with moderate growth potential in the field of transplantation research in Argentina, albeit at a slow pace.
